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Thoughts on whatever timely topic comes to mind.

June 17, 2009

Good News for the GOP “Generic” Candidate

Interesting political fallouts have been producing a bit of discontent with the socialist leadership of the Democrat Party nationwide. It seems that their head Democrat -- the one residing in the White House -- has taken such a sharp turn to the political left that a lot of self-professed moderate Democrats are starting to jump ship and favor Republicans.

What Republican would these so-called moderate Democrats favor? Really, we don’t know that and it apparently makes no difference at this point. They just do not favor supporting another Democrat.

As Rasmussen reported in an article titled Generic Congressional Ballot yesterday:

Democratic and Republican candidates are tied for the second straight week in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 39% would vote for their district’s Democratic congressional candidate while 39% would choose the Republican.

Better yet, the report stated that: “Voters not affiliated with either party favor the GOP 33% to 23%.”

As we’ve reported before, generally speaking, about 35% of voters can be classed as hard core liberals. That is, they will vote for any Democrat on the ballot, no matter what. Conversely, almost another 35% of voters are hard core conservatives and will always vote for Republicans. Of the remaining 30%, about 20% think of themselves as moderate and almost 10% just don’t give a damn. This means, any good politician must conform their campaign rhetoric to woo that 20% straddling the middle of the road.

So, even though Rasmussen says that the “Generic Ballot Remains a Tie for Second Straight Week” -- and that sounds rather uneventful -- if our “generic” GOP candidates are starting out with 35% of the vote and need to work to attract another 16% for a campaign win, that “voters not affiliated” sentence in the Rasmussen Report makes things look rather promising.

Think about it: If 33% of the moderates favor the GOP from the start, that represents yet another 6 to 7% in the final vote -- closing in on good position right out of the shoot for anyone with an “R” after their name who doesn’t come off sounding like a complete idiot. And this, as implied by Rasmussen, represents the situation nationwide, even in some strong Democrat districts.

This administration might remain in power for three and a half more years but it is starting to look very unlikely that the Democrats will control Congress after the election next year.

Yup . . . it’s about time for the liberal leadership to start sending their aides out to refill their Prozac prescriptions. They’ve got a rather tough eighteen months coming up.

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Retired medical research scientist and clinical engineer and sometimes political campaign volunteer. Presently writing political commentary -- and starting to dabble in fiction. Interests include politics, alternative medicine, photography, and communications.